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The Mega Evolution set has taken the Pokémon TCG community by storm, bringing back beloved Mega Evolution mechanics with stunning artwork and powerful cards. Whether you're a collector hunting for chase cards or an investor looking for the next big thing, understanding which cards hold the most value is crucial.
In this comprehensive guide, we'll break down the most valuable cards from the Mega Evolution set, complete with current market prices and investment potential.
Top 10 Most Valuable Cards
1. Mega Lucario ex (Secret Rare) #188
Current Market Value:
- Ungraded: $390.00 - $397.54
- PSA 9: Not yet available
- PSA 10: $949.62
Why It's Valuable:
- Stunning gold secret rare finish
- Mega Lucario is a fan-favourite Pokémon
- Competitive viability in Fighting-type decks
- Low pull rate (approximately 1 in 400 packs)
Investment Outlook: 5/5
This card is the crown jewel of the set. With its competitive playability and iconic status, expect prices to remain strong long-term.
2. Mega Gardevoir ex (Secret Rare) #187
Current Market Value:
- Ungraded: $272.01 - $333.38
- PSA 9: Not yet available
- PSA 10: $658.18
Why It's Valuable:
- Beautiful gold secret rare artwork
- Gardevoir has a massive collector following
- Strong in Psychic-type competitive decks
- Second-rarest card in the set
Investment Outlook: 5/5
Gardevoir cards historically hold value well. This secret rare is no exception and should appreciate over time.
3. Mega Venusaur ex (Special Art Rare) #177
Current Market Value:
- Ungraded: $85.00 - $120.00 (estimated)
- PSA 10: $250.00+ (estimated)
Why It's Valuable:
- Gorgeous Special Art Rare illustration by mashu
- Original starter Pokémon nostalgia
- Lower pull rate than standard Ultra Rares
- Part of the iconic Kanto starter trio
Investment Outlook: 4/5
Starter Pokémon always maintain collector interest. This card should steadily appreciate.
Pull Rates & Rarity Breakdown
Understanding pull rates helps you make informed decisions about buying sealed product versus singles:
| Rarity Tier | Pull Rate | Cards in Set |
|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare | 1 in ~400 packs | 2 cards (#187-188) |
| Special Art Rare | 1 in ~150 packs | 10 cards (#177-186) |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in ~36 packs | 16 cards (#161-176) |
| Double Rare | 1 in ~18 packs | 3 cards |
Expected Value per Booster Box:
- Average box contains 1-2 Ultra Rares
- Approximately 1 in 4 boxes contains a Special Art Rare
- Secret Rares are extremely rare (1 in ~11 boxes)
Investment Strategy
Short-Term (3-6 months)
Buy: Mega Lucario ex, Mega Gardevoir ex secret rares
Why: These are the chase cards and will maintain premium prices as supply stabilises.
Mid-Term (1-2 years)
Buy: Special Art Rare trainer cards (Lillie, Wally, Lt. Surge)
Why: Character cards historically appreciate as sets go out of print.
Long-Term (3+ years)
Buy: Complete master set or sealed booster boxes
Why: Mega Evolution mechanics are nostalgic and the set features beloved Pokémon.
Collector's Checklist
Essential Chase Cards:
- Mega Lucario ex #188 (Secret Rare)
- Mega Gardevoir ex #187 (Secret Rare)
- All 10 Special Art Rares (#177-186)
Complete Master Set:
- All 188 cards (including reverse holos)
- All secret rares
- All special art rares
- All ultra rares
Price Predictions (6-12 Months)
Based on historical trends and current demand:
| Card | Current | 6 Months | 12 Months |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Lucario ex #188 | $390 | $450-500 | $550-650 |
| Mega Gardevoir ex #187 | $272 | $300-350 | $400-500 |
| Mega Venusaur ex SAR #177 | $100 | $120-140 | $150-180 |
| Lillie's Determination SAR #184 | $60 | $80-100 | $120-150 |
Where to Buy
Trusted Marketplaces:
- TCGPlayer - Best for US buyers, competitive prices
- CardMarket - Best for EU buyers, large selection
- eBay - Good for rare cards, check seller ratings
- Local Card Shops - Support local businesses, avoid shipping
Buying Tips:
- Check seller ratings - Only buy from highly-rated sellers
- Compare prices - Use our price comparison tool
- Consider condition - Near Mint is worth the premium
- Buy graded for investments - PSA 10 holds value best
- Watch for deals - Set price alerts for your wanted cards
Final Thoughts
The Mega Evolution set is shaping up to be one of the most collectible modern sets, with strong chase cards, beloved Pokémon, and competitive playability. Whether you're collecting for nostalgia, investment, or competitive play, this set offers something for everyone.
Key Takeaways:
- Mega Lucario ex #188 is the undisputed chase card
- Special Art Rares offer the best value-to-rarity ratio
- Trainer supporters (Lillie, Wally) have strong long-term potential
- Buy now whilst prices are stabilising post-release
Start tracking your collection today and never miss a deal with our AI-powered price alerts!
Prices updated January 15, 2025. Market values fluctuate based on supply and demand. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
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